I agree with the stats, but not the interpretation.
I think we did deserve 5.7 wins last year, but we won more because we had some home games where we had some fit players. But even without new players, or players getting a year of extra experience, we'd still win more than 5.7 games because we still have a big home ground advantage and we'll still have some weeks where Fyfe, both Hills and Sandi are fit, and we win.
And of course the slime should drop. How lucky were they when 3 Geelong players ended up injured in the last quarter? That sort of luck can't hold up.