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TOPIC: Mathematics

Jezza Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #1

Jezza
thewest.com.au/sport/fremantle-dockers/p...-2019-ng-b881101798z

I’m no math guru but I reckon they’re wrong on this occasion.
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Raglan Matt Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #2

Raglan Matt
You are no maths guru, Jezza, however, you must have read far enough down the article, to see that Mr "Staff Reporters" left himself some "Jezzaesque" wriggle room as far as the accuracy of his ladder prediction went.
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shane Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #3

shane
Using the formula, Fox Sports concluded Fremantle should have finished 2018 with just 5.7 win

At that point can we not just conclude that the formula doesn't work? How many guesses does Pythagoras get?
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Corporal Agarn Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #4

Corporal Agarn
It's all Greek to me.
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shane Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #5

shane
When the media write up these people who try and reproduce stats from baseball for the AFL, they never seem to look at the results and see if they've provided any actual insight into anything. This may well be an interesting project in statistical analysis (although I struggle with the idea that the score in games in the 1960's can be matched with the way teams score in the 2010's, which is why they had to shuffle it about) but as far as actually predicting an outcome of one team in one season, it's useless, and not meant to be used that way.
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darthmarto Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #6

darthmarto
Oh well, there you go. No point in running season 2019, give the cup to the Tigers and save us all some time, effort and money.

Bloody statisticians, taking the fun out of everything.
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Walter the baker Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #7

Walter the baker
It’s taken me most of the last couple of hours but I’ve gone through every end of season ladder, for every major football code in Australia over the last 127 years and I can tell you that no team has ever finished the season on 5.7 wins. What makes these guys think that it should have happened last year?
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darthmarto Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #8

darthmarto
There are two kinds of people in the world, those that can extrapolate from incomplete data.
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larkin Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #9

larkin
This post is 48 days early
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The_Yeti Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #10

The_Yeti
What was the old line about liars, damned liars and statisticians.

Last time I looked statisticians could help identify trends from raw data but using that to predict future performance when only some of the variables are included in the analysis always used to be a red flag when you were being held to some kind of standard.

Unfortunately, I've been ruined for this kind of thing by spending my working life dealing with facts that had to be verifiable or they were dismissed out of hand.

Academically, that analysis could never pass muster. There are too many obvious flaws to survive any kind of evaluation but I'm sure it sells advertising space, which these days is far more important than being accurate.
Egurls Suck!
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peaking1 Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #11

peaking1
And sorry Darta, you’re wrong, - there’s three kinds of people in the world. Those that can count, and those who can’t.
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Goober Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #12

Goober
We all know there is no logic in football, so theory disproved!
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The_Yeti Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #13

The_Yeti
Yeah, you're all wrong.

There are 10 kinds of people in the world. Those who understand binary and those who don't
Egurls Suck!
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Snail Mathematics 5 years 2 months ago #14

Snail
This looks like a case of mistaken identity..... Pythagorean’s gone all isosceles on me .......... they’ve forgotten to add in the bye rounds in a leap year. Easy mistake to make !
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