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TOPIC: Elo ratings

Awake Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #1

Awake
Elo ratings are used in a lot of competitive situations, from chess to international soccer. (See:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_rating_system
theconversation.com/what-are-the-world-f...ll-elo-ratings-27851
for example)

Having too much time on my hands and intrigued by the debate around whether we have bottomed, are worse than the Drum years and how we benchmark against other sides I decided to construct my own Elo ratings. Seems to have worked reasonably well. Have a look at this graph comparing our performance against Hawthorn. BTW the best rated team since the inception of the AFL is....Geelong. Consistently highly rated.

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The_Yeti, Bizkit, shane, pollyanna said You Beaut

shane Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #2

shane
I'll just get this out of the way.

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The_Yeti, heycharger, number 2, Davo, Grub, Corporal Agarn said You Beaut

pollyanna Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #3

pollyanna
So we are worse at the moment than the Drum years. I knew it - but I didn't apply that Hungarian physics formula to it. Instead, I used the PGSCR (Polly gut sick coefficient rating) - that is, the amount of times I feel like barfing during a game.
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The_Yeti, darthmarto, Bizkit, DazzElle, Raglan Matt, Corporal Agarn, Burton said You Beaut

FDB Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #4

FDB
I am incapable of resisting.

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The_Yeti, Grub, Corporal Agarn said You Beaut

rogerrocks Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #5

rogerrocks
There would have been very big error bars on our ratings in those early years. And I find it hard to believe that Hawthorn peaked in 2017, a year that saw them miss finals for the first time in yonks. Interesting though...
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hypen Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #6

hypen
Don't bring me down, Awake!
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shane Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #7

shane
Stop it.

You wouldn't say Hawthorn peaked in 2017, you'd say they had a long run of success which ended around 2016.

It would have been interesting to see the Fremantle line if Connolly had kept coaching.
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Raglan Matt Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #8

Raglan Matt
I struggle to believe Freo peaked in 2016, so that calls all the rest of the ratings into question.
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guy smiley Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #9

guy smiley
All I'm prepared to say is, it's a giving thing.
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hypen, Suker said You Beaut

shane Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #10

shane
When do you think we should have peaked?
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Raglan Matt Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #11

Raglan Matt
2006
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shane Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #12

shane
But it doesn't...
You can't just...
You have to go from...

Sigh.

I should have just let them play the ELO songs.
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The_Yeti said You Beaut

guy smiley Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #13

guy smiley
'Peaking' is such a relative term, really.
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shane said You Beaut

Corporal Agarn Elo ratings 5 years 7 months ago #14

Corporal Agarn
I'd rate Jeff Lynne pretty highly. Not many Travelling Wilbury's left.
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